Eicher Motors has a target price of ₹5,299 with a bullish outlook.

by | Nov 17, 2024 | 0 comments

Eicher Motors has been under the limelight because of its strong presence in the premium motorcycle segment and increasing reputation in the commercial vehicle market. The firm had maintained a “Buy” rating on the company with a target price of ₹5,299 in its most recently dated research report on November 14, 2024. Optimum prospects have been betted due to Eicher’s stable financial performance, strategic expansion efforts, and promising growth opportunities both in the home and the international markets.

Q2FY25 Eicher Motors Financial Performance

Eicher Motors (EIM) has shown more than decent performance in its financial growth for Q2FY25, which has resulted in a 3.6% growth in the consolidated revenues year-on-year. However, its top-line stood at Rs 7,527 Crores against an anticipated number of Rs 8,000 Crores from both Prabhudas Lilladher (PLe) and the market consensus. The current company profitability remains quite resilient as the reduced input costs and improved cost management continue to support the top and bottom lines.

 

Gross Profit Growth

Gross profit grew 4.6% YoY, healthy operating efficiency testified by this. This trend was undergirded by stable input prices, testifying to proper chain managing and procurement policies.

  • Gross Margin:

It grew by 42 bps YoY to 46.5% due to efficient production and pricing strategies.

  • EBITDA Margin:

It declined by 91 bps YoY to 25.5% because of promotional expenses associated with new launches and one-time warehousing costs.
PAT Margin Increased 111 bps YoY to 25.8%, led by growth in other income and the quarter’s lower tax rate

  • EBITDA Performance:

EBITDA was flat year on year, mainly owing to increased promotional and warehousing spend. These, however remain strategic investments, which were undertaken to significantly drive sales through new model launches and accessing greater markets

  • Key Growth Drivers

Eicher Motors’ management is optimistic about the prospects of further growth and lists various factors that would propel volume and revenue expansion:

  • New Model Launches

The company has invested in promotional activities associated with newly launched models. This may attract a larger base of customers, and with thrust on innovations with diversified products, it seems to be well-positioned for premium motorcycle segments.

  • Marriage Season Demand

India’s marriage season is soon to start haunting the country, and cycles, being forever a desirable buy and a luxury purchase, are only going to be winners from this one.

  • Export Growth Positive

Eicher Motors is witnessing healthy growth in the export markets. Its demand for the products has been rising in North America, Europe, Southeast Asia, and other areas. That is where the company goes to craft its global expansion strategy.

  • Premium Segment of Expansion

It is actively improving its portfolio across multiple premium motorcycle segments. In the near to long run, this would result in better market share creation and, in the process, overcome most of the competition building up in the Indian market.

  • Commercial Vehicle Segment

The company’s key joint venture, VECV Volvo Eicher Commercial Vehicles, has been one of the prime revenue and growth drivers for the company, mainly driven by the burgeoning infrastructure development happening in India.

 

Challenges and Concerns

Though the prospects for Eicher Motors are fairly decent, there are some issues that are bound to affect its near-term performance:

1. Margin Pressure

Both domestic as well as international markets would be witnessing higher promotional expenses and thus the margins are expected to be in a tight band in the near term.

2. Intensive Competition

The premium motorcycle space is slowly turning out to be highly competitive with new entrants and existing players launching innovative products at affordable prices.

3. Economic Volatility

Global economic volatilities and mixed trends in commodity prices are deterrents in the operational efficiency and profitability of Eicher.

4. Revised Estimates and Valuation

Considering the higher spends on promotionals and one-time warehousing costs, estimates of Eicher Motors have been readjusted by Prabhudas Lilladher. The brokerage reduces earnings for the forecast period by 2-8%. However, it remains optimistic about the company’s long-term prospects for growth.

 

Valuation Highlights

Target Price (TP): ₹5,299
Prabhudas Lilladher uses Sum-of-the-Parts (SoTP) valuations to arrive at the following target price:
Core business value at 27.5 times its Sept’26 EPS.
VECV business valued at 10x EV/EBITDA.
In this, the valuation and safeguarding of Eicher Motors’ ability to ride through short-term turbulent times but fully capitalizing on long-term growth prospects is reflected.

 

Strategic Initiatives for Sustainable Growth

Eicher Motors’ success is sure to its strategic initiatives in keeping in tandem with competition while sustaining growth through:

  • Product Innovation Focus

Eicher continues to invest in R&D for launching cutting-edge products in step with evolving consumer preference. Its focus on innovation has allowed the brand to lead in the premium motorcycle space.

  • Distribution Network Expansion

Omnichannel strategies ensure easy access points to its products in both urban and rural markets strengthening its networks through consolidation.

  • Consolidation of Global Footprint

Expansion in International Markets: Eicher is expanding its footprint in international markets, which is diversifying its base of revenues and reducing dependence on the domestic market. Its focus on high disposable income markets with increasing demand for premium motorcycles is testimony to its global ambitions.

  • Sustainability Initiatives

Eicher Motors is also reaching out toward sustainable practices such as EVs and green manufacturing processes. It, therefore, goes by the global trends and makes it a responsible corporate player.

  • Customer Experience

Eicher aims at boosting customer loyalty and recall of the brand by better after-sales services and community engagement initiatives.

 

Brokerage View

1. Bullish View – Prabhudas Lilladher

A positive view by Prabhudas Lilladher has been a stout recommendation with regards to Eicher’s ability to continue its market leadership underpinned through innovation and strategic investments as well as operational efficiency. The biggest reasons for maintaining a “Buy” rating, according to a brokerage, lie in its robust product pipeline, an increasing export market, and financial health on the verge of touching exemplary standards.

2. Conservative View: Consensus Opinion

While the long-term trend seems positive, some short-term issues – margin pressure and competitive pressures, for instance – make the market experts’ views pretty cautious. These might wreak havoc on the short-term price volatility of the stock.

3. Eicher Motors in Numbers

Revenue for Q2FY25: ₹58,203 crore; up 7% YoY
EBITDA Margin: 25.5%
PAT Margin: 25.8%
Target Price: ₹5,299
Stock: 8% up in 2024; 35% up over the last 12 months.

 

Conclusion

Eicher Motors remains an investment promise, backed by financial strength in terms of performance, innovative product portfolios, and strategic growth initiatives. While margin pressures and competition continue to pose near-term headwinds, the company is well placed for long-term success in the premium motorcycle space, export markets, and sustainability initiatives.

The stock offers an attractive combination of growth potential and market resilience for an investor. The target price is approximately ₹5,299. It is an attractive chance for investment in the long-term journey of the premium motorcycle and commercial vehicle markets of the company.

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