IndiGo’s Market Dominance and New Partnership with Japan Airlines: A Deep Dive

by | Nov 28, 2024 | 0 comments

IndiGo, the flagship airline of InterGlobe Aviation, has been making waves in the Indian aviation industry for several years. From its strong market presence to its continuous focus on expanding its fleet and services, IndiGo has firmly established itself as a dominant player in the Indian aviation sector. On November 26, 2024, the airline achieved a significant milestone by reaching a market share of 63.3% in October, its highest for the year, and announced an exciting new partnership with Japan Airlines (JAL). This partnership is set to enhance IndiGo’s global reach and is poised to provide new growth opportunities for the airline.

This blog is focused on discussing the latest IndiGo performance, exploring growth in its market share, analyzing the strategic collaboration with Japan Airlines, and exploring the potential it has on shaping future performance of the airline. We would also observe a bigger picture concerning these actions affecting the share price and investors’ emotions.

The Good October Numbers for IndiGo

In October 2024, IndiGo recorded its peak market share of the year at a staggering 63.3%, a remarkable feat toward its pursuit of retaining Indian aviation market leadership. IndiGo’s steady growth in maintaining this market share has proven to be an important factor for the airline in establishing and maintaining its position as India’s leading carrier in the extremely competitive aviation industry.

Historic Passenger Traffic

IndiGo carried 86.4 lakh passengers in October, as per the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) data. This number has a lot to say about its ability to cater to the rising domestic air travel demand in India. The Indian aviation market as a whole registered 5.3 percent growth year on year, as per the total number of passengers who flew in India between 1.26 crore passengers in October 2023 to 1.36 crore passengers in October 2024.

This passenger growth is a sign of the revival of domestic air travel in the country, which has been supported by various factors such as growing demand for leisure and business travel, better consumer sentiment, and ease of COVID-19 restrictions. IndiGo, with its wide network, fleet size, and low price, captured most of this growth and further consolidated its leadership in the Indian market.

Market Share Comparison

Compared to other Indian airlines, IndiGo is the undisputed leader. SpiceJet, the ailing carrier, could manage only 2.4% market share, flying 3.35 lakh passengers in October, while Akasa Air transported 6.16 lakh passengers, with a 4.5% market share. This marked difference shows how well positioned IndiGo is in the domestic market.

While other carriers are struggling through various issues like financial instability, fleet constraints, and operational problems, IndiGo’s solid structure and operational efficiency have helped the company not only survive but continue its dominant position in the market. With its consistent performance, it is well poised to seize even more market share over the coming months.

Strategic Partnership with Japan Airlines

As IndiGo crosses this impressive market share mark, it recently announced yet another new codeshare agreement with Japan Airlines (JAL) set to go live on December 16, 2024. This development comes as the next big stride for IndiGo in its strategy of global expansion.

What is Codesharing?

Codesharing is a conceptual agreement between two distinct airlines to share an aircraft commonly scheduled on the same flight, both airlines marketing this under their flight numbers. By codesharing, airlines are able to branch out into more destinations for passengers without having to fly under separate flight numbers.

For instance, under the IndiGo-JAL codeshare agreement, a passenger is able to book a ticket on a JAL flight flying into any domestic destination in India but operated by IndiGo and vice versa. This is one of the significant steps made by IndiGo since this will enable the airline to tap into the customer base of JAL, especially to and from Japan and India.

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Advantages of JAL Partnership

The codeshare partnership with Japan Airlines is strategically important for IndiGo, as it allows the airline to reach markets beyond India and tap into the lucrative Asian and global markets. Here’s how this partnership will benefit both airlines:

Access to JAL’s Network:

JAL can thus now reach out to 18 domestic destinations in India that fall under the network of IndiGo. This increases JAL’s operations in India without requiring the airline to establish its own domestic infrastructure.

Increased connectivity for IndiGo:

The increased connectivity to international markets, especially in Japan, will be beneficial for IndiGo. As Japan is a major global business hub, the partnership will open doors for IndiGo passengers to travel to key cities in Japan and other Asian countries served by JAL.

More Choices for Passengers:

With the codeshare agreement, passengers will have more flexibility and options while traveling between India and Japan. The ability to book a single ticket for connecting flights operated by both airlines will provide a seamless travel experience for customers.

Competitive Advantage in the Market:

Now, with its increasing international operations, IndiGo can now be more competitive with other global airlines operating in the Indian market. Furthermore, this alliance with JAL boosts IndiGo’s reputation as a progressive airline that seeks to expand its global operations.

Current Operations and Future Plans of JAL

Japan Airlines currently operates daily flights between Tokyo (Haneda) and Delhi and five weekly flights between Tokyo (Narita) and Bengaluru. Under the codesharing agreement, it will include domestic routes between these cities, which will allow passengers to travel from India to Japan and vice versa much more easily.

This partnership is likely to add to JAL’s India-based presence, as the demand between the two countries for travel has continuously increased. The Japanese carrier is also positioning itself in these two rapidly growing markets as a key player in the Asia-Pacific and Indian sectors.

Impact on IndiGo’s Stock Price

IndiGo’s share has risen dramatically this year, with a near 40% year-to-date increase, far outpacing the Nifty 50’s 10% gain for the same period. That said, the stock was down by nearly 10% in the last three months, showing how volatile the nature of the airline industry, and indeed the stock market, is.

Why This Stock Soared After Indigo’s JAL Partnership

After the news of the codeshare tie-up with JAL, IndiGo’s shares surged more than 1% in early trading on November 26. The airline was already enjoying a market share performance in October. Investors see a bright prospect of expansion for the airline domestically and internationally, mainly as this partnership with JAL opens up more avenues.

Positive sentiment on IndiGo’s management and its strong operational performance coupled with the ability to evolve along with the changing requirements of the travel market has reflected positively in the increase in the stock price. Expanding its global reach, IndiGo is not just emerging as the leader in its home turf but also establishing itself in the international skies.

Ailments of IndiGo for the Near Future

Despite its strong performance, IndiGo faces several challenges that could impact its stock price in the near term:

Rising Fuel Costs:

Fuel costs are a significant portion of an airline’s operating expenses. Rising fuel prices could negatively impact IndiGo’s profitability, especially if the airline is unable to pass on the cost increases to passengers through higher fares.

More Competition:

IndiGo faces competition not only from domestic carriers but also from international airlines expanding their reach to India. The growing presence of airlines like Air India, Vistara, and international players could lead to pricing pressure and reduced market share for IndiGo.

Economic Conditions:

Fluctuation in currency, inflation rates, as well as geopolitical tensions are a few macroeconomic factors, which affect passenger demand for airlines and increase operational costs.

Conclusion: IndiGo’s Growth Trajectory and Future Outlook

IndiGo continues to be India’s largest and most dominant air carrier in terms of market share, growing its international route presence steadily. It is part of IndiGo’s solid growth in performance and creative strategy combined with its efforts for operational efficiency. This alliance is part of IndiGo’s plans for further fortifying its presence worldwide. No doubt that the codesharing deal will give further boosts in tapping into this continuously rising market between India and Japan.

Looking ahead, challenges do persist-escalating fuel costs and the growing competition-but IndiGo’s diversified business model, leading market position, and growth into the international arena bodes well for the future. A recent codeshare with JAL is but one example of how the carrier is taking steps to reposition in a changing market, preparing the way for sustained long-term growth.

The fundamental aspect for investors is that IndiGo has strong fundamentals, along with a proven track record of performance. As the airline expands its network and grows globally, it is best suited to deliver strong returns to shareholders in the years to come.

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